The Underdog is 8-2 ATS in the last 10, Wisconsin is coming off a big win over previously #1 ranked Ohio State. Illinois lost the previous meeting between the two.
Pick: Wiscy +4.5
7:00 CINCINNATI – 1 VS. Louisville
Our friends over at Pregame.com like the Bearcats, however Cincinnati has lost 6 of their last 10, and Gates has been struggling.
Pick: Lville +1
7:00 UCONN -2.5 VS Georgetown
The Hoyas have won the last four meetings and eight straight overall, Uconn has been struggling as of late, losing 3 of their last 5.
Pick: Gtown +2.5
8:30 ILLINOIS -9.5 VS Michigan
Once again we acknowledge our friends over at Pregame, who like Michigan tonight. CT$ likes them as well, they have won 5 of 6 and are streaking at the right time as we head towards March Madness. Tim Hardaway Jr. also coming off a big game, and 9.5 is a lot of points.
Pick: Wolverines +9.5
NBA 7:00 Miami -9.5 @ Toronto
It’s tough to win back to back road games, and that is exactly what this is for the Heatles as they took care of an Indiana team that battled pretty hard last night. Chris Bosh also returns to Toronto, where he should hear it from the fans. Raptors are coming off a win against the Clippers, let’s see if they can sneak up on Miami.
Pick: Toronto +9.5
7:30 BOS -10.5 vs NJ
Boston has been off for three days and are pretty beat up. Have played some tough games recently and I look for the Nets to go in there looking to play hard against a division foe. Believe it or not, New Jersey is also the better rebounding team in this matchup.
The Pick: Jersey +10.5
NHL 8.00 Min +160 @ CHI
The Wild have been red hot as of late. One thing we like to touch on at CT$ is Value Bets. This is a value bet. You have a team with an overall better record +160 ML playing a struggling Chicago who have lost 6 of 10. Minnesota should give the defending cup champs a tough one, and Pat Kane also has been suffering from the flu.
CT$ headquarters is located in the northeast region of the country. New England to be a little less broad. And while spending time in this area, we are granted the opportunity to be exposed to some of the best (and worst) media in the country.
Growing up around New York City, this typist was exposed to Mike Francesa and Chris "Mad Dog" Russo on 660 WFAN in NY. Understanding for a long time that these were "the best in the business", I chose to accept that. Over the past few years I have been able to expand my radio listening ability, and more recently I have been glued to 98.5 The Sports Hub in Boston.
As a follower of NY sports teams and Boston sports teams, I now get to listen to some of the best personalities in sports media (and once again, some of the worst, looking at you Michael Kay).
So without further ado, let me congratulate Michael Felger & Tony Massarotti of Felger & Mazz on 98.5 The Sports Hub. Yesterday their top rivals, 850 WEEI announced a shuffling of their format, dropping noted midday guy Dale Arnold and re-formatting the midday show and "The Big Show".
This is clearly a +1 for Felger & Mazz and the crew at 98.5, who are far and away the more talented and skilled of the two shows. Listening to those two everyday is great, and I hope they continue to blow away WEEI in the ratings.
Seriously, what gets you more fired up on a Monday than a girl from K-State dressed like that and two semi-doable broads from West Virginia with Nick Lachey? And On Valentine's Day no less!
Ok now to the real fun. You're feeling down, you probably spent too much on your girl today (Anything over $5 qualifies as too much), or you don't have a girl to spend anything on. Don't worry, follow the advice of us here at CT$ and you will be trying to find ways to do your TV later tonight.
SYRACUSE -6 vs. West Virginia
The Orange have lost 6 of 8, and it's probably the first time since 1735 they have lost three in a row at home. This is a dicey matchup, because many think 'Cuse can right the ship tonight at the Carrier Dome. That very much could be true, but giving SIX to a good conference foe in West Virginia is tough to do. We have seen it at all year in the Big East, just as one team zigs it takes a massive turn and zags. Don't get us wrong, the better team is Syracuse but the folks here at CT$ don't like to bet against Bob Huggins, especially if he's getting six.
WVU is the better rebounding team, and even though they are just .500 on the road, they play road games close.
The Pick: WVU +6
Kansas -7 @ Kansas State
This line opened up somewhere between 4.5 and 5.5 today, and depending where you look it's skyrocketed all the way up to between 6 and 7. Kansas is good, Kansas is probably the best team in the country. It's a rivalry game, they should go in there and blow the doors off of the Wildcats and leave them for dead like a sorority whore after a keg party.
I'll take K-State thank you very much. Jacob Pullen is going to show up big time tonight, the Wildcats are 12-1 at home. Coming off a heartbreaking loss to a good Colorado team in Boulder Frank Martin WILL have his guys ready to go tonight. It's been a rocky road up and down year for Kansas State, but in this rivalry game at home they should be in this game and show some pride. Take the points.
Tonight we will look at a couple of NCAA underdogs.
Game 1: Florida State -2 @ Georgia Tech
Listen to me, it is hard to win on the road in college basketball. Listen to me again. IT IS HARD TO WIN ON THE FUCKING ROAD IN COLLEGE BASKETBALL.
Game 2: Uconn -2.5 @ St. John's
We here at CT$ like our underdogs, hell, we almost only bet underdogs. We're not saying both dogs cover tonight, hell the way things work they will probably get blown out by 60, but just keep that in mind when playing road favorites. We especially mean this in the Big East, it was less than two weeks ago the Red Storm blew out Duke at The Garden . Calhoun's teams are known for letdowns, Steve Lavin is trying to mold an image at St. John's.
In terms of FSU/GT, the underdog has covered 17 of the last 21 meetings. We don't love trends here, but that's something to look at as well as GT's 8-4 home record vs. FSU's 5-4 road record. Best of luck to all of you this evening, but I'd watch out for the dogs.
As we head into November and begin to see what the National Championship picture is supposed to look at, might we say we have a very spooky weekend? With a new No. 1 for the 3rd week in a row, there is also an interesting slate of games ahead this weekend. Here at CTS we will do our best and give you our thoughts, opinions, and picks on a few contests.
West Virginia -6, 44.5 @ CONNECTICUT - 8 PM
The Huskies haven't beaten the Mountaineers in over five years, and even though they are home at Rentschler Field Saturday evening coach Edsall's team has their work cut out for them. With their starting QB, Cody Endres suspended for the year, Uconn's backup Zach Fraser has a completion percentage of just over 50%.
West Virginia handles Uconn every year, and this one should be no different. Just when you think the Huskies are going to make that jump every year, they manage to come back to earth. After their hiccup last week, I like the Mountaineers to win and cover the spread.
The Pick: Mountaineers -6, 25x, Under 44.5, 25x
Michigan State +6.5, 50 @ IOWA
Sparty is undefeated. Sparty is undefeated. Listen, nobody is saying Michigan State is going into Iowa is beating them. I will however, take the undefeated road dog, getting more than a touchdown. It seems almost stupid NOT to take Sparty here, right? The last three contests between these two have been decided by just eight points. All we are asking from MSU is to go in, give the effort a number five team in the country should give, and hopefully come out covering.
Iowa is a strong squad, without a doubt. There isn't much to not like about Ricky Stanzi, but Kirk Cousins can come in and lead this Spartan team to victory. I don't like Michigan State, I hate rooting for them, but on Saturday, take the 6.5 points.
The Pick: Michigan State +6.5, 50x
Other picks: OK St -5 over KState, Utah -7 over AFA.
It's a big game in the ACC, and Vegas has the Wolf Pack tabbed as 4.5 point underdogs at home this evening conference rival Florida State.
We like the Wolf Pack at home to cover the points.
The public is siding with the boys from Tallahassee, and why shouldn't they? Florida State is one of the favorites to win the ACC this year and they beat the Wolf Pack in their house last year.
I'll go against the public thank you very much. Sitting at 5-2, this is an enormous game for NC ST. and quarterback Russell Wilson, who is outgunned the Noles' Christian Ponder this year in terms of yards, while Ponder just gets him with a little higher of a completion rating.
Listen, bottom line here is is that it's Thursday Night Football on ESPN. Home dogs do well in these games, as this is often pegged as one of the biggest games of the year by the hosting school. We will see what happens, but as noted before I'm siding with the home side.
The Pick: North Carolina State Wolf Pack +4.5, 50x.
I love Steph Curry but I think the loss of Jason Richards really hurts them, Curry has to work that much harder to get open and create his own opportunities. I think the game will be close but OU will pull away in the end and should get the cover.
This picture describes the story few years ago when these two teams met and the Browns won in the snowy confines of Paul Brown Stadium 8-0. Tonight we get Brady Quinn's first road start and in primetime for the 2nd time in a week. Snow is also in the forecast this evening and you know those Buffalo people (can we even call residents of Buffalo "people", I went there once and I saw some of the ugliest people I've ever seen) have been tailgating since about 9 AM when they were doing kegs and eggs in the parking lot. Anyways, I love Marshawn Lynch and I think the Bills are a good team that have come up on the short end against 3 good teams 3 games in a row. We loved the Browns earlier this year on Monday Night against the Giants but not this time. Kellen Winslow isn't that great, Braylon Edwards (From: Michigan) is inconsistent and Romeo Crennell is...Romeo Crennell. So we are going Lee Evans and his boys because "Nobody...circles the wagons like the Buffalo Bills!"
P.S. A big fuck you goes out to the officials doing the Steelers/Chargers game yesterday. Hey N.F.L. good luck seperating yourself from gambling and the people who lost a ton of money
This line opened at around 5, 5.5, been there most of the week and saw it at 4.5 at the lowest today...Got the word at 8.20 the line moved to 3.5. We liked them at 5, but at 3.5 we LOVE them about as much as want to pork Sloan from Entourage. Lets Go Buffalo.
Goin' with the 'Boys here. Both teams are coming off byes but with Washington beating Dallas earlier this season I think Jerry Jones' team will be out for blood. Cowboys have Romo coming back. Its not that I love the Cowboys, its more of a hatred for Jason Campbell too. Good luck to the team that wins this game and still has to look up and see the Giants a few miles down the road in first place.
Pitt -5 OVER San Diego I can only imagine what the people who had Pitt -5 are thinking right now. Between a holding call and Polamalu, the Iron City Lights will be flowing in the greater Pittsburgh area.